"Престижная Кливлендская клиника провела исследование эффективности вакцины от гриппа этого сезона (2024/25). В исследовании участвовали 53,000 человек, из них 82% привились от гриппа. Эффективность вакцины оказалась отрицательной. Вакцинация повышала риск заболеть гриппом на 27%.
Антиваксеры сейчас начнут цитировать это исследование, утверждая, что оно якобы доказывает, что вакцины неффективны.
Это, разумеется, совсем не так. Вот если бы эффективность была ровно ноль - тогда можно было бы это сказать. А отрицательная эффективность - это тоже эффективность! Следовательно, вакцины (отрицательно) эффективны и безопасны."
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2025.01.30.25321421v3
medRxiv · Effectiveness of the Influenza Vaccine During the 2024-2025 Respiratory Viral SeasonBackground The purpose of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of the influenza vaccine during the 2024-2025 respiratory viral season.
Methods Employees of Cleveland Clinic in employment in Ohio on October 1, 2024, were included. The cumulative incidence of influenza among those in the vaccinated and unvaccinated states was compared over the following 25 weeks. Protection provided by vaccination (analyzed as a time-dependent covariate) was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression.
Results Among 53402 employees, 43857 (82.1%) had received the influenza vaccine by the end of the study. Influenza occurred in 1079 (2.02%) during the study. The cumulative incidence of influenza was similar for the vaccinated and unvaccinated states early, but over the course of the study the cumulative incidence of influenza increased more rapidly among the vaccinated than the unvaccinated. In an analysis adjusted for age, sex, clinical nursing job, and employment location, the risk of influenza was significantly higher for the vaccinated compared to the unvaccinated state (HR, 1.27; 95% C.I., 1.07 – 1.51; P = 0.007), yielding a calculated vaccine effectiveness of −26.9% (95% C.I., −55.0 to −6.6%).
Conclusions This study found that influenza vaccination of working-aged adults was associated with a higher risk of influenza during the 2024-2025 respiratory viral season, suggesting that the vaccine has not been effective in preventing influenza this season.
Summary Among 53402 working-aged Cleveland Clinic employees, we were unable to find that the influenza vaccine has been effective in preventing infection during the 2024-2025 respiratory viral season.
### Competing Interest Statement
The authors have declared no competing interest.
### Funding Statement
This study did not receive any funding
### Author Declarations
I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained.
Yes
The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below:
The study was approved by the Cleveland Clinic Institutional Review Board as exempt research (IRB no. 23-625). A waiver of informed consent and waiver of HIPAA authorization were approved to allow the research team access to the required data.
I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals.
Yes
I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance).
Yes
I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable.
Yes
All data produced in the present study are available upon reasonable request to the authors