Looks like last month's groceries price spike (https://mastodon.murkworks.net/@moira/114779178179938014) wasn't a one-off.
July isn't as bad as June, but it's still the second worst, $230 over the previous most expensive month. Versus running average (which includes last month's record) we're up 29.3%, and vs. the _previous_ running average (before last month's record) we're up 42.3%.
Vs. May, we're only up 32%.
Still, we are down June to July. But is that meaningful?
With a previous-to-spike standard deviation of $57 on an average expenditure of $679, the $93 drop from last month is not much outside our inflation-adjusted projected standard deviation of $85. Had I gone for groceries today, we'd be well within it.
So - barely? At most.