"With Kamala Harris officially out of the race, Katie #Porter has emerged as the Democratic frontrunner,
increasing her support from 12% to 18% since the April Emerson poll,”
Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said.
“Steve #Hilton, who was not in the race in April, has jumped to 12%,
while the share of undecided voters has dropped from 54% to 38% over the summer.
Porter leads among voters over 50 (22%),
those with a postgraduate degree (35%),
and white voters (23%).”
Looking ahead to the 2028 presidential nomination contest,
Governor Gavin #Newsom leads the Democratic primary with 23%,
followed by former Secretary of Transportation Pete #Buttigieg at 17%,
Vice President Kamala #Harris at 11%,
and Representative Alexandria #Ocasio-#Cortez at 9%.
In the Republican primary,
40% support Vice President JD #Vance,
10% support Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. #Kennedy,
and 9% Florida Governor Ron #DeSantis.
Governor Gavin Newsom holds a 44% job approval rating, and 38% disapproval.
President Trump holds a 30% job approval among California voters, and 58% disapproval.
On the generic congressional ballot, #Democrats have a 22-point advantage:
54% support the Democratic candidate while 32% support the #Republican; 15% are undecided.
A third of voters (33%) support the proposal to redraw California’s congressional map ahead of the 2026 Midterm Elections, while a quarter (25%) oppose; 42% are unsure.
“Support to redraw the state’s congressional map ahead of the Midterm Elections is strongest among Democrats by a 23-point margin, 42% to 19%,
and opposed by an eight-point margin among Republicans, 36% to 28%.
A majority of independent voters are unsure, while 25% oppose and 23% support,” Kimball said.
The #economy is the top issue for 30% of California voters,
down from 40% in April,
followed by #housing affordability at 19%,
#immigration at 15% (up from 7% in April),
threats to democracy at 13%,
and #healthcare at 8%.
Housing affordability is 14 points higher for California voters compared to U.S. voters overall,
while concern for threats to #democracy is ten points lower than the national poll.
A majority (61%) of California voters view #tariffs as more of a tax on U.S. consumers,
while 26% view tariffs as a tax on the foreign country.
Democrats view tariffs as a tax on the consumer, 79% to 11%, while Republicans see tariffs as a tax on the foreign country, 54% to 32%.
A majority of California voters (60%) think mass deportations of undocumented/illegal #immigrants in California are a bad thing,
consistent with the April Emerson poll;
40% think mass #deportations are a good thing.
Forty-nine percent of voters think the California government should spend more on #firefighter staffing and equipment,
knowing that increased funding may require a tax increase, down from 62% in February;
43% think the government should spend the same, up eight points from February, and 8% think it should spend less.
Just over half of California voters (51%) agree that Los Angeles is an ideal host city for the 2028 Summer #Olympic Games, while 27% disagree. Twenty-three percent are unsure.
Black voters (64%), voters aged 30-39 (57%), male voters (54%), and college-educated voters (54%) most agree that Los Angeles is an ideal host city for the Olympics.
Republican voters (42%) and voters aged 50-59 (33%) are most likely to disagree that Los Angeles is an ideal host city for the 2028 Summer Olympic Games.
