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Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #238 Bridging null hypothesis testing and estimationThoughts: An overview of the ways you can claim "no effect" under a bayesian framework.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nullresults" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nullresults</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/noeffect" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#noeffect</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/equivalencetests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#equivalencetests</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/equivalence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#equivalence</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/jasp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#jasp</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/r" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#r</a><a href="https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/c7b45" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/c7b45</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #236 Using Bayes to get the most out of non-significant resultsThoughts: A bayesian way to investigate "no effect": Bayes Factors. Cool guide on how to think about priors (post hoc even).<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/priors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#priors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nullresults" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nullresults</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/equivalence" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#equivalence</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nhbt" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nhbt</a> <a href="https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00781/full" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00781/full</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #232 Bayesian Interval-Null TestingThoughts: @JASPStats has a module for Equivalence Tests that include Bayesian Overlapping and Non-Overlapping Hypothesis Testing.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/equivalencetests" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#equivalencetests</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/jasp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#jasp</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/noeffect" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#noeffect</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://jasp-stats.org/2020/06/02/frequentist-and-bayesian-equivalence-testing-in-jasp/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://jasp-stats.org/2020/06/02/frequentist-and-bayesian-equivalence-testing-in-jasp/</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #196 JASP Bayesian ANOVAThoughts: @JASPStats is used by researchers to "add some bayes factors" to their results. But, do you know what those actually reflect? Here is what their team says:<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/anova" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#anova</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/modelcomparison" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#modelcomparison</a><a href="https://static.jasp-stats.org/about-bayesian-anova.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://static.jasp-stats.org/about-bayesian-anova.html</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #166 Using Bayes to get the most out of non-significant resultsThoughts: Not sure how to set more meaningful priors for your Bayes Factors? This paper has a guidance. Great for simple designs.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nullresults" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nullresults</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nhst" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nhst</a><a href="https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00781/full" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.frontiersin.org/journals/psychology/articles/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.00781/full</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #165 Approximate Objective Bayes Factors From P-Values and Sample Size: The 3p√n RuleThoughts: p-values can't quantify evidence, but maybe if we apply a transformation they can? Is JAB_01 the future? Debate!<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nhst" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nhst</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/pvalues" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#pvalues</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a><a href="https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/egydq" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/egydq</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #148 Bayes Factors and how to use them, via {bayestestR} pkgThoughts: A go-to packages for bayesian model inference. Also has a great explanation of BFs, how to use them, and alternatives.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/r" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#r</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rstats</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayes" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayes</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/BayesFactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BayesFactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/HypothesisTesting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HypothesisTesting</a><a href="https://easystats.github.io/bayestestR/articles/bayes_factors.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://easystats.github.io/bayestestR/articles/bayes_factors.html</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #90 Improving the utility of non-significant results [...]Thoughts: OK overview, but a fairly naive take on what to do with non-sig results. Also, plz don't just report <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> and call it a day! <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/pvalues" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#pvalues</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/NHST" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NHST</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/frequentist" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#frequentist</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/education" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#education</a><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1747938X23000830" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1747938X23000830</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #87 {bfrms} Bayes Factors for {brms} modelsThoughts: Pkg seems dead, but has insights into specifying <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/brms" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#brms</a> models to get similar results to <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/JASP" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#JASP</a> and the need for more samples (24k min) for proper estimation.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rstats</a><a href="https://github.com/bayesstuff/bfrms" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://github.com/bayesstuff/bfrms</a>

Martin ModrákNew on the blog: I explore the connection between Bayes factors and cross-validation and explain why I think it does not justify the use Bayes factors in most cases. <a href="https://www.martinmodrak.cz/2024/03/23/cross-validation-a-fourth-way-to-compute-a-bayes-factor/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.martinmodrak.cz/2024/03/23/cross-validation-a-fourth-way-to-compute-a-bayes-factor/</a><a href="https://bayes.club/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://bayes.club/tags/BayesFactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BayesFactors</a> <a href="https://bayes.club/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#stats</a> <a href="https://bayes.club/tags/CrossValidation" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CrossValidation</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #60 Justifying Bayesian PriorsThoughts: This blog post was extremely useful when I started using <a href="https://fosstodon.org/@JASPStats" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@JASPStats</a> and had no idea what priors were. Recommend it. <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/jasp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#jasp</a> <a href="https://xeniaschmalz.blogspot.com/2019/09/justifying-bayesian-prior-parameters-in.html" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://xeniaschmalz.blogspot.com/2019/09/justifying-bayesian-prior-parameters-in.html</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #42 Bayes Factors in <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/brms" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#brms</a>Thoughts: Bayes Factors are just the ratio of the height difference of two points on two lines, don't @ me! (seriously, that's how most packages commute it)<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rstats</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/jasp" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#jasp</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesfactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesfactors</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/SavageDickey" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#SavageDickey</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ResearchMethods" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ResearchMethods</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/psychology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#psychology</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstodon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstodon</a> <a href="https://mvuorre.github.io/posts/2017-03-21-bayes-factors-with-brms/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://mvuorre.github.io/posts/2017-03-21-bayes-factors-with-brms/</a>

Dr Mircea Zloteanu ☃️<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #30 Bayesian Model Averaged Marginal Effects by <a href="https://bayes.club/@ajordannafa" class="u-url mention" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">@ajordannafa</a> Thoughts: Why report AMEs when you can report BMAMEs? Cool (necessary?) way to capture uncertainty. Unsure it make sense for experiments.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#bayesian</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/uncertainty" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#uncertainty</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#rstats</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/BayesFactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#BayesFactors</a><a href="https://www.ajordannafa.com/blog/2022/being-less-wrong/" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.ajordannafa.com/blog/2022/being-less-wrong/</a>

Erik-JanWas going through old repositories; found this nice document on estimating treatment effect of a medicine for a single patient with seizures <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/rstats" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#rstats</a> :rstats:It goes from simple to complex: - <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/Visualization" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Visualization</a> & summary statistics - Poisson regression (glm) with a treatment dummy - Penalized poisson regression to deal with 0s - Correcting for autocorrelation - <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/Bayesian" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#Bayesian</a> Poisson model with <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/stan" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#stan</a> <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/rstanarm" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#rstanarm</a> - Correcting for autocorrelation and <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/BayesFactors" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#BayesFactors</a> <a href="https://fosstodon.org/tags/bridgesampling" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#bridgesampling</a><a href="https://github.com/vankesteren/single_subject" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://github.com/vankesteren/single_subject</a>

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