@amiloradovsky It's interesting to me that high confidence is not a notion you subscribe to. Surely there are certain things you have high confidence due to repeated evidence.
For instance, I've personally observed the sun rising over 12,000 times without a single deviation.
While skepticism about the framing of the world and extremely unlikely scenarios keep it from being 100%, I still have a very high confidence that the sun will rise again tomorrow morning.
@urusan Not just any confidence, but about the future.
Gathering the statistics and fitting some analytic functions into it is sure the way to go. But this is not what you meant, I guess: not projecting the existing trends, but a qualitative assertions. And there is simply no data for even making an estimations of the latter.
Fosstodon is an English speaking Mastodon instance that is open to anyone who is interested in technology; particularly free & open source software.